After a steady start with 3/5 winners Tom Love is back to try find some angles to exploit in the League One and League Two fixtures this forthcoming weekend.
AFC Wimbledon vs Doncaster
Doncaster (draw no bet) @ 9/10
Donny have impressed in all competitions so far this season, reaching the third round of the League Cup as well as remaining unbeaten in the League. They are visitors to Kingstonian to take on an AFC Wimbledon side who are struggling in front of goal of late, coming of the back of two defeats and a draw in the league.
Alfie May has been a real bright spark for Rovers this season, the all-energy front man will no doubt be attracting admiring glances from managers up and down the country and his partnership with John Marquis is one that can hurt most teams in league 1. May who has bagged 4 in his last 4 games in all competitions is 15/4 with Bet Victor to notch anytime in this weekends clash, too big a price to ignore in my book.
The main selection here though is Doncaster (draw no bet) at a shade under even-money. This gives some insurance if the game ends all square, if it’s a draw then the bet is void and stakes are returned but if Doncaster get the win then we win at the aforementioned odds.
Swindon vs Crawley
Swindon to win @ 17/20
Swindon top the League 2 table after two wins and a draw and I expect them to add another three points to their tally this weekend by getting the better of a poor Crawley side.
The Sussex Side have lacked solidarity at the back and it’s hard to see that improving with Aussie gaffer Harry Kewell at the helm. The ex Leeds legend struggled as the Watford under 23’s manager and pundits have backed Crawley to struggle under his stewardship and clear to see why so far, the stubborn approach to his philosophy could take a while to getting used to for his players.
The Robins on the other hand have a new found vim and vigour under David Flitcroft, there’s optimism in the air at the County Ground and as mentioned in last weeks column they have a strike force to be reckoned with. It looks like one of the stand out bets on the coupon this weekend and I’m happy to get on board at a decent price.
Cambridge vs Morecambe
Morecambe (Double Chance) @ 11/10
I’m pleased to see Morecambe to avoid defeat at odds against this weekend as they visit the Abbey Stadium. Jim Bentley will have his troops organised as ever for this match up and their great form in the early stages of the season under Bentley provides confidence in backing the Shrimps. Away from home the seaside club play without fear and should not be underestimated.
Their hosts are a Cambridge side that have failed to impress so far this season. U’s fans are frustrated by Shaun Derry’s safety first tactics used, especially at home. I wouldn’t want to be backing the home side at quotes as short as 4/5. They managed to scrape a 1-0 win last weekend at Crawley in a game that was devoid of any quality until the late introduction of big striker Jabo Ibehre.
If Derry continues with 1 striker starting up front then I feel the crowd could be on his back from minute one and Morecambe can profit from this. I’ll happily lay Cambridge at these prices and back Bentley’s boys to get something from the game.
Newport vs Chesterfield – Both Team To Score @ 7/10
How refreshing is it to see Michael Flynn’s Newport side carry on from where they left off last season? The charming Welshman has got County flying and with new signings Reece Cole and Padraig Amond arriving in Pembrokeshire, there’s bounds of confidence and hope surrounding the club at the moment.
Saturday will be the first time the Exiles will play hosts this season, as their pitch has had a much needed relaying. County fans will surely welcome their new look team with rapturous applause as they look to build on a strong start with a win at Coventry standing out. Coincidentally their newly laid surface mirrors the change in style adopted by Flynn, a more expansive, attacking approach which will bode well for them. This concept does however leave them vulnerable at the back, conceding three at Stevenage and five in the League Cup at Leeds highlights their fragility in defence.
Opponents Chesterfield are starting to click under Gary Caldwell after a slow start and fans were pleased by the win over Port Vale last weekend. Kristian Dennis, Chris O’Grady and Jordan Sinnott should be a handful for any defence in this division and their midfield looks strong with Robbie Weir holding, Loanees Louis Reed and Jordan Flores adding energy to the middle of the park. From the squad on paper it looks like a narrow 4-1-2-1-2 formation may be implemented.
It will be interesting to see if Shawn McCoulsky starts for the home side, his pace could be a weapon to utilise if he’s on the shoulder of the ageing Ian Evatt.
I wouldn’t be surprised if Newport managed to get the win here but their defensive frailties put me off so the bet to go for is ‘both teams to score’.