D3D4 betting maverick @tomlove_18 is back with his tips ahead of the weekend action in League One and Two…
Wigan -1 Asian handicap vs Fleetwood at 6/7
Table toppers Wigan continue to dominate League 1 in terms of points as well as the underlying performance data. The Latics have covered the -1 handicap in their last two league games against good opposition in Doncaster and Rotherham and they play host to a Fleetwood side that haven’t lived up to expectations after last seasons heroics.
Üwe Rosler has seen his side fail to win in 5 of their last 6 including failure to win against Hereford FC, 4 tiers below them. The German has instigated a puzzling change in style since the first few weeks of the season. The Cod Army previously played forward-thinking, slick and enterprising football but performances altered after a shift to a more defensive set up, going away to try and sneak a point, something they shouldn’t do given their counter attacking potential with Devante Cole, Jordy Hiwula and Ash Hunter all armed with blistering pace. This reformation seems to have led to a lack of belief and confidence in the squad and could provide rich pickings for Wigan.
Athletic have strength in depth all over the park and the onus will be on them to dictate possession and attack, the play mainly goes through the talented Michael Jacobs who scored in both these fixtures last term and I think he can be the key to unlock the 5 man Fleetwood defence. 1/2 about the hosts to win is fair but I’m happy to take them on the -1 Asian handicap at just shy of even money. This selection means if the Latics win by 2 or more goals we will be paid out, if they win by 1 goal then stakes are returned.
Oldham to beat Northampton at 1/1
Ex Bradford City and Wigan gaffer Paul ‘Jagger’ Jewell has been added to the coaching staff at Boundary Park, a canny move to add experience to help aid rookie manager Richie Wellens. Not that Wellens has been struggling, far from it, Oldham now take the game to teams whereas in the past they’ve sat back and allowed to be dominated. They’ve been especially excellent in central midfield with Jack Byrne and Dan Gardner impressing with their craft and eye for a pass. Goals have slightly dried up in recent times but there’s no doubt that they possess the players to further hurt a beleaguered Northampton side.
After having little instant impact at Sixfields, Jimmy Floyd-Hasselbaink started to get Northampton going in the right direction. That went well for about 3 weeks. They’ve failed to win in their last 5 games, scoring a grand total of 0 goals. Cobblers are in to 8/13 for the drop and relegation is becoming a real worry for a team that looked to have done good business in the summer.
Oldham are available to back at even money which is an attractive quote.
Chesterfield to beat Barnet at 5/4
It’s the battle of the bottom two in League 2 this weekend as Chesterfield welcome Barnet to Derbyshire. The home side are at the foot of the table but don’t let that fool you, the Spireites have lost only 1 of their last 7 as ex-player Jack Lester gets his methods across. Furthermore, Chesterfield have won their last two at their ProAct base including a victory against high fliers Exeter. Kristian Dennis remains the key attacking outlet for the hosts, a clever player with good movement and strong finishing ability, the ex-Macclesfield man is attracting interest from clubs in higher divisions and he will be this weekends anytime goalscorer selection priced at 13/10.
Mark McGhee hasn’t had the desired impact in North London since his arrival. Apart from a win at Newport, the bees have struggled to score losing 3 of their last 4 ‘to nil’. They are only ahead of their prospective opponents on goal difference, and their midfield lacks strength. This is a clash between two clubs going in different directions.
5/4 is best price on Chesterfield to get the win and I’m happy to get on board considering it’s a game that could mentally be huge for their season.
Stevenage vs Wycombe – Over 2.5 goals at 4/5
I’m expecting the goals to flow in Hertfordshire on Saturday afternoon. 10 of 14 home games involving Stevenage this season have broke the over 2.5 barrier whereas Wycombe have seen 75% of their games see 3 or more goals scored.
Looking at the two teams’ forward lines and you can see goals galore. Stevenage with Godden, Newton, Pett, Kennedy, Wooton, Wycombe with Akinfenwa, Mackail-Smith, Eze, Tyson, Saunders. You get the feeling that both teams will go for this one, Wycombe beat Leatherhead 3-1 on Sunday in the FA Cup and Stevenage also progressed beating Swindon 5-2, both goal heavy games.
I’d of expected a shorter price on over 2.5 goals here so the 4/5 is a welcome surprise and one I’m happy to get stuck into.