D3D4 betting Maverick @tomlove_18 takes a look at the best deals ahead of the weekend fixtures in League One and Two…
Blackburn to beat Bristol Rovers at 4/5
Tony Mowbray has garnered some consistency out of his well stacked Blackburn squad recently. Impressive and comprehensive wins at Oxford and Bury, scoring 7 in those two victories, have highlighted the attacking potential in this side. Ant and Dec have returned to our screens now I’m a Celebrity is live again but it’s the duo of Ant and Dack that has Rovers fans purring. Leeds loanee Marcus Antonsson and ex Gillingham playmaker Bradley Dack have linked up to great effect this last month or so. Dack operating behind the front two of Antonsson and youngster Joe Nuttall has proved a system to get the most out of all their attacking threats.
Charlie Mulgrew has been another stand out performer for the Lancashire club, the left footed defender popped up with two goals in that win at the Kassam and is always an interesting play in the anytime goalscorer market. The Scotsman is not only good at using his height advantage in the air but he is also on spot kick duty as well as free kicks, he’s 15/4 to notch anytime on Saturday and I’m willing to give him a go against a leaky Bristol Rovers side.
Darrell Clarke has come under some pressure from a vocal minority of Gas fans in recent weeks. Personally I think it’s daft for any fan to want him out just because of a poor streak of results, he took them from the conference to league 1 in a matter of years, some sense of perspective is needed. That been said it’s a good time to be against Rovers in the 1X2 market having lost their last five in a row. The West Country boys have always seemed to struggle away from their memorial stadium base when in league 1 however their home form has also taken a dip, a lowlight being conceding 3 against notoriously low scorers AFC Wimbledon. Their defence can’t be trusted to keep a clean sheet and confidence must be low, Blackburn look a more than fair price to get the job done, I couldn’t put anyone off them covering the -1 handicap at 2/1 but the 4/5 on the straight home win is decent enough value.
Gillingham vs Oldham – Both Teams to Score at 14/19
Looking at recent form, BTTS will have landed in 5 times in of both these teams’ last 6 games.
Since Richie Wellens took the helm at Boundary Park the Latics have been exciting to watch and full of goals. Jack Byrne and Eoin Doyle have been superb additions to a team that were badly lacking craft and guile, it’s a style in stark contrast to the defensive approach from former gaffer John Sheridan and its paying dividends in terms of entertainment value as well as points.
Gillingham pose a greater threat under Steve Lovell than they did under Ady Pennock, they’re strong in the air with the likes of the towering Tom Eaves and the heading supremo Josh Parker, Lovell has played to their strengths. Gills have a W4, D2 record in their last 6 games in all competitions and they look underrated in the Asian markets, being given a quarter goal start in a game I’d of expected to be played off scratch.
At the start of the season this would’ve been a game to swerve in the BTTS market but those managerial alterations have brought about a more attacking style for both sides so BTTS is the selection at a weird price of 14/19.
Forest Green Rovers vs Cheltenham – BTTS at 7/10
Forest Green have seen an upturn in performances and results this month which has seen them escape from the drop zone. I put them up last week to beat a faltering Crewe side and they did the business (eventually), we also backed Christian Doidge to add to his impressive tally and the ex Dagenham and Redbridge man obliged, the 6/4 on him repeating the feat looks a decent bet.
Cheltenham don’t have to leave Gloucestershire to make the relatively short trip south to Nailsworth, the Robins should bring a healthy contingent of travelling fans for a game to could be laden with goals. Cheltenham have performed admirably across the shot data and expected goals metrics and provide a threat in every game. An unsung hero for the Robins is Kevin Dawson, an extremely hard worker who also provides quality on the ball, it seems that he sets the standard for his teammates to reproduce. 5 out of their last 6 games have seen BTTS cop and I think they have enough firepower with Dawson, Danny Wright and Mo Eisa to get at least a goal against a never reliable FGR backline.
This should be an entertaining derby with both teams going for it, BTTS is the play.