The D3D4 Football Betting Maverick @tomlove_18 is back with his tips ahead of this weekends matches in League One and League Two…
Bradford City to win and under 4.5 goals vs Plymouth – 19/20
Plymouth have seen an improvement in performances and results in the last month or so compared to their dire early season form. It has to be said that the main reason for their slight upturn is the individual performances of star man Graham Carey, the Scotsman has reproduced displays that were such a prominent part of Argyle’s promotion last term. Armed with dazzling footwork, superb delivery and ability to score from outside the area he is a talismanic figure for the Green Army. However, he is suspended for this weekends long trip up to West Yorkshire and that’s a heavy blow for Derek Adams’ charges as there is a real dearth of creativity when Carey is absent.
Bradford City go into the clash on the back of a comfortable home win in the FA Cup against Chesterfield. Assist maestro Tony McMahon returns from suspension, midfield engine Jake Reeves is also likely to be recalled after a much needed rest. It will be interesting to see who will partner Charlie Wyke up front, Alex Jones could well play a part from the off after his nicely taken goal last week especially given the fact that Dom Poleon is still coming back from an injury and Omari Patrick looks more useful as a wild card off the bench. Stuart McCall has been impressed with the consistency in the performances of wingers Paul Taylor and Alex Gillead and although the latter hasn’t chipped in with many goals or assists his running power allows the Bantams to get up the pitch much quicker.
Statto’s out there will notice the Claret and Amber army aren’t performing superbly on the expected goals data but they keep picking up good results and there’s plenty more to come from them I feel, I’m expecting them to get another three points here. I’m going to boost the odds from 4/7 to a near even money shot by throwing in the caveat of the Bantams coming out victorious in a game featuring fewer than 5 goals.
MK Dons vs Fleetwood – Both Teams To Score – 5/6
I’m not sure Uwe Rösler will be too pleased that his Fleetwood side have had to play on Monday then Wednesday and again this Saturday as they travel to Stadium:MK. Back to back 2-1 cup wins however will mean the Cod Army will go into this fixture full of confidence, in addition, their last couple of league games have seen the Fylde Coast club dispatch an impressive Oxford side as well as getting a well deserved point at Ewood Park, a game Fleetwood actually dominated. Rösler’s side have scored in 5 of their last 6 and with the attacking threat at the Germans disposal its hard to see them failing to notch here.
MK have seen a glut of goals in their recent encounters, scoring 4 against Hyde in the FA Cup, 4 away at Oxford in the EFL trophy as well as 4 against Oldham a couple of weeks back. For all their improvement at the top of the pitch, their defensive vulnerability has been clear to see, conceding 4 against Oldham and 3 against Oxford highlights that as well as leaking 4 against Bradford a few weeks prior. Robbie Neilson can call on the different types of threats going forward with the wizardry of Gboly Aryibi, the pace of Ryan Seager and the physicality of Osman Sow and Chuks Aneke.
This contest looks ripe for goals when looking at the pairs forward options, I’d expect Fleetwood to play on the counter with the pace of Devante Cole and Jordy Hiwula which can really hurt teams but I think MK will be confident in grabbing at least a goal with their current scoring form. 5/6 looks a generous price on BTTS and that looks the angle to take.
Swindon to beat Chesterfield at 19/20
David Flitcroft has really started to get a tune out of his young Swindon side, the Robins are on a five match winning run in all competitions and look full of verve. For all their youthful exuberance, a key cog in the Swindon machine is that of veteran midfielder Matty Taylor, his wand of a left foot has caused damage continuously this season and he seems a great character to have around the club. John Goddard, who impressed greatly at Woking in the National League a couple of seasons ago has started to shine in that attacking midfield role, a clever player, Goddard is equally as good at working inbetween the lines as he is breaking through gaps in defences. Also a shout out has to go to their defence marshalled by Ollie Lancashire and Matt Preston who shut out a rejuvenated Port Vale as well as a free scoring Wycombe.
Chesterfield are still rock bottom of the table on only 9 points, the appointment of club stalwart Jack Lester has failed to spark the team into life. The Derbyshire outfit have lost a league high 11 games and it’s hard to have any faith in them, they looked neat enough in the cup against Bradford but Kristian Dennis was ploughing a lone furrow up front and they were ineffective in the final third.
Swindon look good things here at an supremely attractive 19/20 quote. It’s a team who have won five on the bounce and are full of confidence vs a team that are languishing at the pit of League Two with no confidence at all. It will be a huge surprise if the Robins don’t get the business done this weekend.
Stevenage vs Notts County – Over 2.5 goals at 10/11
A stats play here, and it’s goals I’m looking for at Broadhall Way. Of their 8 home league games, Stevenage have seen 6 of them return three or more goals. Darren Sarll aims to get the most out of his strong forward line and with the likes of Matt Godden, Danny Newton, Tom Pett and Ben Kennedy who can blame him? Their last six games in all competitions have seen 28 goals scored, almost an average of 5 a game!
Notts County come into this one in mixed form of late but they’re more than capable of getting on the scoresheet. Kevin Nolan has possibly the best player in the league in Jorge Grant and has found a good balance of youth and experience in his squad. It’s true too that the Magpies have sent overs backers home happy in their last four outings and they will get chances at a leaky Stevenage this Saturday.
Goals is the order of the day here and at an more than backable price of 10/11 I’m happy to get on board.