The D3D4 Betting maverick @tomlove_18 is back with his betting tips ahead of the Tuesday night action in Leagues One and Two…
MK Dons vs Walsall – Both Teams To Score at 3/4
They did it again. Walsall took part in a game where BTTS landed, continuing their 100% record of scoring and conceding. I’m happy to get involved again as they travel to Milton Keynes this midweek. Erhun Oztumer scored a terrific free kick in their stalemate against Blackpool at the Bescot and the ‘Turkish Messi’ remains the key man for the Saddlers floating between the lines.
MK Dons have seen BTTS cop in 3/4 of their last home games and gaffer Robbie Neilson has highlighted the pace of Walsall at the top of the pitch as a key part of their opponents game. Aaron Tshibola will be out for MK after his red card against Bradford City last week so Neilson doesn’t have his back four all in place. The Whites do have threats towards going forward with the tricky American Gboly Ariyibi as well as the physicality of Osman Sow and the direct running of Ryan Seager, I’d expect the hosts to notch.
The main bet here is BTTS at a more than fair 3/4, however the more exotic punter might be interested in BetStars 15/4 quote for a penalty to be awarded. Walsall have conceded a league high 7 penalties already this term.
Rochdale to beat Northampton at 3/4
It’s just not happening for Northampton. After a mini new manager boost when Jimmy Floyd Hasselbaink took the reigns at Sixfields with a couple of wins the Cobblers have reverted back their old selves, leaky at the back and lacking potency going forward it’s looking bleak. Confidence must be on the floor especially after that 6-0 shellacking handed out by Bristol Rovers the other week, and with the relatively inexperienced manager in Hasselbaink it’s hard to put a great deal of faith in him rallying the troops.
On the other hand Rochdale came out victorious at Fleetwood last week and Keith Hill is a manager I like, he will have pinpointed this as a game where his Dale side have to collect three points if they’re going to threaten the play offs come the end of the season. Experienced trio Steve Davies, Matt Done and Ian Henderson certainly have the nouse to hurt teams in the box and it was apparent that Hill allowed his full back to get forward with greater freedom giving the Lancashire side an added attacking dimension. Dale usually enjoy these home games against poor teams and I can see them grabbing a couple this Tuesday.
Coventry to win and under 3.5 goals at 13/10 vs Forest Green Rovers
Coventry have had a superb start to the season from a defensive perspective, limiting all their opponents to very few serious goal scoring opportunities. Where Mark Robins’ side seem to struggle is at the other end of the pitch, failing to score at Barnet and Accrington in the last few weeks is cause for concern for Cov fans. Having said that, Wolves loanee Duckens Nazon was on international duty for Haiti for the Barnet game and may not have been at full fitness for the game at the weekend, he should be more fresh for Tuesday night. We put him up a few weeks ago to score and he did just a few minutes into the game, he can exploit the weak Forest Green back line with his power, he is this weeks anytime goalscorer selection at 13/10.
Forest Green are the visitors this week, they couldn’t build on their hard fought point at Notts County reverting to type losing 4-0 at home to Newport. Shoddy defending was once again on show for Mark Cooper’s men and it’s been the story of their season so far. It’s difficult to see FGR getting anything at one of the best sides in the division.
Sky Blues fans will expect a response to their defeat at the weekend and this is the dream game for them to do so. With Cov as short as 4/9 we have to look for a more attractively priced angle and I like the look of them winning in a game featuring 3 or fewer goals at 13/10.
Stevenage vs Accrington – Over 2.5 goals
Stevenage manager Darren Sarll was left fuming by his sides capitulation at Luton on Saturday going down 7-1 and it’s easy to see why. They failed to deal with Danny Hylton and Luke Berry, the latter was allowed the freedom of Kenilworth Road to score a hat trick. Hopeless defending will give visitors Accrington a great deal of belief going into the the game in Hertfordshire.
John Coleman’s tight-knit squad continue to impress with a well earned win against the aforementioned Coventry at the weekend. They’re a team I really fancy this year and they’ve been getting results along with an aesthetically pleasing style of football, the likes of Sean McConville, Seamus Coneely, Billy Kee and Kayden Jackson have all caught the eye.
Stanley have rewarded over 2.5 backers with regularity this term and they play without fear away home, always good for a goal or two. Stevenage have also seen goals flow at Broadhall Way in the last couple of years and Sarll will be eager for an aggressive performance. I was seriously tempted to give Accrington a go here at an eye-catching 15/8 given their impressive away record but I’m unsure how Stevenage are going to respond after that embarrassment on Saturday. I’ll take the even money on 3 or more goals been scored.